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Uncharted

How to Map the Future

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Uncharted

Von: Margaret Hefferman
Gesprochen von: Margaret Heffernan
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Über diesen Titel

How can we think about the future? What do we need to do - and who do we need to be?

We are addicted to prediction, desperate for certainty about the future. But the complexity of modern life won’t provide that; experts in forecasting are reluctant to look more than 400 days out. History doesn’t repeat itself and even genetics won’t tell you everything you want to know. Ineradicable uncertainty is now a fact of life.

In complex environments, efficiency is a hazard not a help; being robust is the better, safer option. Drawing on a wide array of people and places, Margaret Heffernan looks at long-term projects developed over generations that could never have been planned the way that they have been run. Experiments, led by individuals and nations, discover new possibilities and options. Radical exercises in forging new futures with wildly diverse participants allow everyone to create outcomes together that none could do alone. Existential crises reveal the vital social component in resilience. Death is certain, but how we approach it impacts the future of those we leave behind. And preparedness - doing everything today that you might need for tomorrow - provides the antidote to passivity and prediction.

Ranging freely through history and from business to science, government to friendships, this refreshing book challenges us to resist the false promises of technology and efficiency and instead to mine our own creativity and humanity for the capacity to create the futures we want and can believe in.

©2020 Margaret Hefferman (P)2020 Bolinda Publishing Pty Ltd
Erfolg im Beruf Management & Leadership Ökonomie
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Great!

Prediction, metrics, plans, all these things have for sure their due place, they support efficiency, and help getting things done. But the future remains uncertain due to human agency. Uncertainty and human agency have not only to be acknowledged but appreciated. In them lie the potential of innovation and evolution, in society, business, personal life.

Instead of trying to predict and plan everything, accept uncertainty and ambiguity where it cannot be removed. Don't use the standard tools for situations where uncertainty is rather negligible. And to be prepared for (almost) everything, rather than trying to predict the future: foster trust, mutual support, even emotional connection, commitment, the vision of a future worth fulfilling in your organization, community or personal environment. These increase your resilience and will help you bounce back in case something unexpected happens (and it will).

A very good message about what's wrong about over using the modern tools of the digital economy in areas where they have no place.

The only drawback of this book is the audio quality. The reader speaks clearly and with a good feeling of what she's reading (of course, she's the author). But the quality of the equipment with which the recording was done, is surely improvable.

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